Tuesday, June 15, 2010
The Logical Method
What are my thoughts? I have been thinking about deception in general and how many people still trust their sources, like news radio, politicians, mainstream media and the like. I have determined I am a critical thinker. I require evidence and proof of any allegations. I don't believe people at face value and believe there are motivations behind all allegations. If you hear someone say something about someone else, there has to be motive for it. From people talking about the President to talking about the oil spill. I think I have become cynical. As a result I have developed a new paradigm. It is kind of an enhancement to the scientific method. I think everyone can use it to determine if they are being lied to. I think we all should assume people we listen to are lying until we can prove they are telling the truth. I call it the Logical Method. Where you live your life by always asking questions and always researching sources. Google is great for that.
Steps in the Logical Method
1. Formulate a hypothesis(testable statement) based upon a theory, someone's presumptions or someone's allegations
2. Prove the inverse of the hypothesis wrong by testing it from various perspectives.
4. Test the hypothesis in various conditions and use a control group.
5. Look at the worst case and best case scenerio and who or what benifits from it.
6. Determine based on the source of evidence if what is said is true.
7. When you can defend the hypothesis against all scrutiny using the source of evidence then you have a successful hypothesis.
8. If you refuse to listen to the opposite view and can't defend against its attacks using evidence then you are wrong.
So what am I talking about? Not only science but daily living. I have been reading up on this oil spill business and wanted to know how I should react. Is it the end of the world or a little spill? News sources are so vague about everything their lack of research shows they can't understand its impact. It has been like 60 days so I wondered what is the scope of it. As I researched it I came up with a number of 60 million of gallons in the ocean. That is alot. But I have no perspective. So I researched oil tankers. The biggest one can hold over 200 million gallons. That is even more. I now have a perspective. Then to learn that 20 million has already been cleaned up made things even better.
That gives me clues to why people are trying to use this spill for political means - like stopping drilling, more regulations, saving the environment and such. Because people are not educated fear can be a driving force behind things. Even if they are good things we should not be motivated by untruths. But I had to test the inverse to be sure. So I researched the end of the world scenerios. I knew something about peak oil from my past. There is a faction of people who have untested theories about oil coming from deep in the earth and not fossilized carbon. They think oil is neverending. Then they go on CNN and tell the world how we are all going to die from it how once a hurricane comes all of the coast is going to be oily. They are doing another disservice by lying to the public as they cannot defend against the scientific evidence.
So in conclusion I went through my new logical method to determine that all of it is of no reason for concern. We are already cleaning it up and it will be stopped. We can fit it all in a tanker. Both the left and the right are wrong. Here is a question for you all to answer. Which side showed more hatred? The democrats in talking about Bush or the republicans in talking about Obama. I wonder what the truth is. There would have to be alot of research about this. Since I don't know the answer I will give no opinion. And that's all I've got to say about that.
Steps in the Logical Method
1. Formulate a hypothesis(testable statement) based upon a theory, someone's presumptions or someone's allegations
2. Prove the inverse of the hypothesis wrong by testing it from various perspectives.
4. Test the hypothesis in various conditions and use a control group.
5. Look at the worst case and best case scenerio and who or what benifits from it.
6. Determine based on the source of evidence if what is said is true.
7. When you can defend the hypothesis against all scrutiny using the source of evidence then you have a successful hypothesis.
8. If you refuse to listen to the opposite view and can't defend against its attacks using evidence then you are wrong.
So what am I talking about? Not only science but daily living. I have been reading up on this oil spill business and wanted to know how I should react. Is it the end of the world or a little spill? News sources are so vague about everything their lack of research shows they can't understand its impact. It has been like 60 days so I wondered what is the scope of it. As I researched it I came up with a number of 60 million of gallons in the ocean. That is alot. But I have no perspective. So I researched oil tankers. The biggest one can hold over 200 million gallons. That is even more. I now have a perspective. Then to learn that 20 million has already been cleaned up made things even better.
That gives me clues to why people are trying to use this spill for political means - like stopping drilling, more regulations, saving the environment and such. Because people are not educated fear can be a driving force behind things. Even if they are good things we should not be motivated by untruths. But I had to test the inverse to be sure. So I researched the end of the world scenerios. I knew something about peak oil from my past. There is a faction of people who have untested theories about oil coming from deep in the earth and not fossilized carbon. They think oil is neverending. Then they go on CNN and tell the world how we are all going to die from it how once a hurricane comes all of the coast is going to be oily. They are doing another disservice by lying to the public as they cannot defend against the scientific evidence.
So in conclusion I went through my new logical method to determine that all of it is of no reason for concern. We are already cleaning it up and it will be stopped. We can fit it all in a tanker. Both the left and the right are wrong. Here is a question for you all to answer. Which side showed more hatred? The democrats in talking about Bush or the republicans in talking about Obama. I wonder what the truth is. There would have to be alot of research about this. Since I don't know the answer I will give no opinion. And that's all I've got to say about that.
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